Portugal: Benfica and Porto flying the flag in Europe

BENFICA continued their impressive season at home and abroad with a 2-0 victory in Bruges, gaining a vital advantage in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie. Although there’s the second game to come, Benfica have, unless something goes horribly wrong, one foot in the quarter-finals for the second consecutive season. Nobody predicted they would progress this far as their group stage opponents included Paris Saint-Germain and Juventus, but they finished top and went unbeaten.

Benfica, who finished third in the Primeira Liga last season, are top this time around and have lost once in 20 games, a surprise 3-0 defeat at the hands of Braga. Coach Roger Schmidt, who took over  in May 2022, has revived the club and they have already scored over 50 goals in 20 games. Strikers Gonçalo Ramos and João Mario have scored 35 goals between them across all competitions.

Off the pitch, Benfica have also been doing sound business in 2022-23. In the summer, they signed midfielder Enzo Fernandez from Argentina’s River Plate for just € 10 million. After the player was part of Argentina’s World Cup triumph in Qatar, Benfica were able to sell him to cash-happy Chelsea for an eye-watering € 120 million, clearly benefitting from the post-World Cup honeymoon. In the close season 2022, the club also sold the force of nature that is Darwín Núñes to Liverpool for € 75 million.

Benfica have a business model that is generally profitable and enables them to compete on the European stage, as evidenced by their performances in the Champions League. But in the past two seasons, they have posted pre-tax losses totalling € 75 million, largely attributable to the pandemic. Their wage bill in 2021-22 was 66% of income, an improvement on 2020-21’s 103%.

Portuguese Primeira 16:02:23

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The club continually shops smart in the transfer market and is very successful in luring players from South America, but it also develops young talent at their much-admired Seixal-based academy. Already the next group of players who could be sold to top clubs in Europe are being identified, such as midfielder Florentino Luís who is being tipped to earn Benfica another € 100 million fee very soon. Over the past decade, Benfica have earned more than € 700 million in profits from player sales.

Porto, who are five points behind Benfica in the Primeira Liga, have also fared well in the transfer market this season. They sold Fábio Vieira to Arsenal for € 35 million and Vitinha to Paris Saint-Germain for € 41.5 million. They also have a player that has been eyed by clubs from England in the form of 25 year-old Brazilian strike Galeno, who rejoined Porto for € 9 million from Braga a year ago. Galeno is among the leading scorers in the Primeira this season. Porto are also in last 16 of the Champions League and are up against Inter Milan. Their two defeats include a 1-0 loss at home to rivals Benfica.

Braga, who are part-owned by Qatar Sports Investments, are in third place and eight points clear of the other member of the Portuguese “big three”, Sporting Clube de Portugal, who were champions two years ago and went very close to retaining their title in 2021-22. Sporting’s manager, Rúben Amorim remains one of the most coveted coaches in Europe and at some point, the club may have to wave farewell to him. Leeds United, for example, were reported to be interested in him when they sacked Marcelo Bielsa and more recently, Jesse Marsch. Braga and Sporting both have some promising young players and in the recent transfer window, Braga sold Vítor Oliveira to Marseille for a club record € 32 million. 

Benfica have over 100 graduates from their club playing across European football with a current value of € 670 million (source: CIES Football Obervatory). Portugal is, generally, very proficient in player trading, so much so that the country is the main taker of Brazilian talent (18.9% of all Brazilian football expats) and the migratory path from Brazil to Portugal is the most travelled route in world football. The top export market for Portuguese football is England.

Given the number of players developed in Portugal and the heritage and strength of its leading clubs, there is an argument that the Primeira Liga is just as important than France’s Ligue 1. Portugal is ranked sixth at the moment among European leagues. Admittedly, there is a huge gap in Portugal between Benfica, Porto and Sporting and the rest of the league, but Portugal has two European Champions (Benfica 1961, 1962; Porto 1987, 2004) to France’s one (Marseille 1993). Much depends on TV rights in modern football and the league has just invited tenders for TV rights for 2023-24 to 2025-26. The future of Portugal’s football really hinges on a fair distribution of broadcasting revenues as much as its player trading and development skills.

The imbalances in Portuguese football can be clearly seen in the transfer activity – in the past five seasons, Benfica and Porto have spent € 347 million and € 209 million respectively, whereas a team like Maritimo could only spend € 1.8 million and their net outlay was just € 500,000. Similarly, Benfica average 55,000 at their Estádio da Luz and Porto draw almost 46,000. At the other end, Portimonense get crowds of little more than 2,000 and FC Arouca just 1,800.

Benfica and Porto have a good chance of securing a place in the quarter-finals of the Champions League, while Sporting should win through their Europa knockout play-off against Denmark’s Midtjylland. Meanwhile, in the Conference League, Braga and Serie A’s Fiorentina meet in a well balanced tie. It is not inconceivable that Portugal could have four representatives in the quarter-finals of UEFA’s three competitions.

How they’re shaping up – the situation in top European leagues

THE 0-0 draw between Arsenal and Newcastle United underlined how much progress these two sides have made over the last year, but it also demonstrated, to a certain degree, that both will be challenged to last the pace in the Premier League. Manchester City are waiting in the wings and will have been pleased with the stalemate at the Emirates Stadium.

For the past decade, European football has stagnated in so far that most leagues are dominated by a single entity, maybe two at a push. The Premier League is one of the more democratic, although it is bossed by half a dozen clubs with more money than the rest. The Premier, since 2012-13, has had five different champions, although five of the 10 titles have gone to Manchester City, with four of those won in the last five years.

Here’s the situation in some of Europe’s top leagues as 2023 gets underway:

Austria

Red Bull Salzburg are top and six points clear of Sturm Graz, the only side to beat the champions this season. Salzburg have won the last seven Bundesligas, their financial advantages enabling them to dominate Austrian football. Although the Austrian league is a two-stage affair, it is difficult to look beyond Salzburg, who are also in the last eight of the Austrian Cup, which they have won for the past four seasons.

Belgium

Genk, who last won the Belgian league in 2019, are seven points in front of second-placed Union Saint-Gilloise. Club Brugge, who have won the past three titles, are not faring so well this season, although they are in the last 16 of the UEFA Champions League. They have recently appointed former Fulham and Bournemouth manager Scott Parker as their coach. Anderlecht, who were third in 2021-22, are floundering in mid-table.

France

It would be a major shock if Paris Saint-Germain were not top of Ligue 1 at the start of a new year. They have a four-point advantage over Lens, who beat them 3-1 to end an unbeaten run that stretched back to March 2022. PSG have Lionel Messi, Neymar and Kylian Mbappé in their ranks and a wage bill that dwarfs the rest of Ligue 1. If nothing else, the performance of Lens (they have lost just once, too), suggests the French league will be more interesting than usual.

Germany

Unsurprisingly, Bayern Munich are on top once more and have a four- point lead over surprise club Freiburg. RB Leipzig, who have recovered after a poor start, are in third place. Bayern have lost just once (against Augsburg) and have qualified for the last 16 of the Champions League after ending the group stage with a 100% record. Four points is a relatively modest lead at the top of the Bundesliga, but Bayern are equipped to relentlessly go after their 11th consecutive league success.

Italy

Serie A is very interesting this season, but Napoli are winning all the plaudits for their exciting style. They have a seven-point lead at the top and are unbeaten. AC Milan, the reigning champions, are in second place and crisis club Juventus are third, but pressure has been building on coach Max Allegri after they were knocked out of the Champions League at the group phase. Napoli have impressed in Europe and are in the last 16 of the competition, along with AC Milan and Inter Milan.

Netherlands

Feyenoord went into 2023 on top of the Eredivisie, three points in front of Ajax and PSV Eindhoven. This should make for an exciting second half of the campaign, although Ajax have been very clumsy in losing points cheaply. They have lost twice, to PSV and AZ Alkmaar. PSV have beaten both Feyenoord and Ajax this season, but they have just lost the talented Cody Gakpo to Liverpool. All three Dutch giants are still involved in the UEFA Europa League.

Portugal

As ever, the Primeira Liga is being dominated by Benfica and Porto, with Braga and Sporting behind them. Benfica, who enjoyed a successful Champions League group stage, are top and five points ahead of Porto, who also qualified for the last 16. Benfica lost their first game of the league campaign in their first post-Christmas fixture, a 3-0 drubbing at Braga. A prolific player-trading club, they look set to receive another cash windfall if they sell Enzo Fernández to a top Premier league club in the aftermath of the 2022 World Cup.

Scotland

Already people are talking about Celtic as champions and that it is a case of “theirs to lose”. Certainly, their nine point lead over Rangers looks insurmountable at this stage of the season. The two sides drew 2-2 on January 2 at Ibrox, but their first meeting saw Celtic win 4-0. Both teams saw their shortcomings exposed in Europe, finishing bottom of their Champions League groups. They could yet meet in the Scottish League Cup final in February.

Spain

Inevitably, it is a two-horse race once more in Spain, with Barcelona and Real Madrid level on 38 points after 15 games. The two teams have almost identical records, but Barca are ahead on goal difference. Real Sociedad are in third place, but nine points worse off than the big two. Atlético Madrid are having a somewhat patchy season. Real Madrid are the only Spanish side in the last 16 of the Champions League, both Barca and Atléti, along with Sevilla, went out at the group stage, but Barca are in the Europa League, where they will face Manchester United.

Switzerland

While reigning champions Zurich are embroiled in a relegation fight, Young Boys Bern look poised to regain the crown they lost in 2022. They have a 10-point margin at the top of the Super League, with Servette in second position. YB are the league’s top scorers with 35 goals in 16 games, but they have also conceded just nine goals. They look red hot favourites to win the title.  

While most of the title-chasers are fairly predictable, there are possibilities of shocks, notably in England (Arsenal), France (Lens) and the Netherlands (Feyenoord). On the other hand, this list may just read Manchester City, Paris Saint-Germain and Ajax. We can dream.