Who would be a football manager? The Erik ten Hag debacle

THERE’S no such thing as a long-term contract and very few managers remain at a club for more than two years. José Mourinho was the man that left after two seasons, but in truth, everyone is now a temporary appointment, regardless of the length of their contract.  Mourinho was certainly ahead of his time. Erik ten Hag, Manchester United’s current manager, was supposed to be sacked after the end of 2023-24 season; the media thought so, the fans assumed so, ten Hag probably expected it and social media was crowing for it. 

Furthermore, a list of potential replacements were hitting the press every day. Gareth Southgate, Thomas Tuchel, Thomas Frank, Kieran Mckenna and Graham Potter were all linked to the Dutchman’s job. While all this was going on, Erik ten Hag was expected to carry on and try and salvage something from a mostly miserable campaign for United. Even on the day of the FA Cup final against Manchester City, the news was very clear: Erik ten Hag will be sacked after the final.

United’s new regime, spearheaded by Sir Jim Ratcliffe, conducted a performance review of their manager where all options were considered. Again, the public humiliation of Erik ten Hag continued in a way that would be unacceptable in any other industry. At the end of it, news came out of Old Trafford that Erik was not going to be sacked, after all, and a new contract was a possibility. Just how ludicrous is football when it comes to the way it treats employees?

Let’s not forget that Erik ten Hag’s current contract runs to June 2025, so any early termination would come with compensation and, one assumes, the obligatory non-disclosure agreement. In truth, it was never a natural appointment and from the moment he joined the club talk of his departure has been an ever-present topic.

And yet, his win rate of 57.89% is better than any post-Ferguson hiring and has only been bettered by Sir Alex (59.67%). He has been in the role two years and has won a trophy in both seasons, beating the middle-eastern backed duo of Newcastle United and Manchester City. Ten Hag’s problem is United are struggling to live up to their mythical status which includes a certain style of football. They also mismanaged the transitional period that followed Ferguson’s retirement and despite being huge spenders, have failed to build a genuine title-challenging side. The club has been at war with its owners and their iconic home ground has fallen behind the super stadiums of Europe. They make, in relative terms, huge amounts of money, but they do not seem to spend it well. Above all, United have lost that vital ingredient – the joie de vivre that was long associated with the club. Sadly, Erik ten Hag is, to some extent, a victim of United’s decline.

How does he feel today, knowing that his status has evolved from “dead man walking” to someone who may be given a contract extension after months of “will he, won’t he”?. Winning the FA Cup may have been the real reason behind the severance contract being placed in the locked drawer for the time being. The cynics would suggest that it is simply a stay of execution and it is likely that his status will change game-by-game in 2024-25.

This situation is by no means exclusive to Manchester United. Displays of public disloyalty are rife across European football. Look at Xavi and Barcelona. First, he was leaving, then he was staying and the management of the club visibly rejoiced. Then, at the end of the campaign, he was sacked over some comments he made about the club’s financial position. Was this the plan all along? Was Xavi’s premature announcement considered to be detrimental to the team’s morale, so it was effectively withdrawn until the La Liga season was over? And then there’s Mauricio Pochettino at Chelsea, a club that seems to have taken a vow of self destruction. He turned a pools’ winner’s team (“spend, spend, spend”) into a consistent unit in the latter stages of the season and they even managed to qualify for Europe. But for months there were rumblings that “Poch” was going to be sacked in the close season – just one year after joining the club. 

It was unprofessional to allow this behaviour to prevail, but the various forces that influence football make it difficult to avoid. There are possibly four elements involved in leaking and promoting “outcome possibilities”; agents who want something to change for their clients; clubs looking to exit a difficult situation; the individuals themselves who want rumour to do their work for them; and social media.

The trend these days is for clubs to announce –  a week or two in advance – that their coach is leaving at the end of the season. Already around 30% of the clubs in Europe’s top five leagues will go into 2024-25 with a new manager and there will be more to follow. This very uncertain world has created a new animal – the unwanted top job. Who would have predicted a few years ago that a top Premier League job would be turned down by a manager on his way up the ladder? How many coaches would have put the “not interested” message out there after being approached by an elite club? The most lucrative positions now come with so much complexity and interference that money doesn’t necessarily make it worthwhile. A career-defining role at a troubled institution or one that is battling with its own identity, can be damaging. It takes a strong character to deal with these clubs.

Chelsea v Manchester United: Never mind the quality

CHELSEA versus Manchester United used to be a calendar highlight. In addition to being an occasional trophy decider, in the distant past it was one of the first games a fan of either club would look at on their fixture list for the coming season. There was star quality about the teams, there was fierce rivalry between the fans and they had a common bond in their dislike of opponents such as Arsenal and Liverpool.

The latest encounter was approaching “dead rubber” status, although United still have hopes of a Champions League place and Chelsea could, with more than a bit of luck, make a dash for the Conference League. Furthermore, if United beat Coventry City and Chelsea manage to upset Manchester City in the FA Cup semi-finals, this game could be a warm-up for the cup final. For that to happen, a lot would have to go right for both clubs in a season where two of English football’s most talked about institutions have had trouble looking in the mirror.

As well as late season points, the meeting of Chelsea and United was the latest chapter in the uncertain tale of two football coaches, Mauricio Pochettino and Erik ten Hag. Nobody would accuse any reporter, pundit or supporter predicting that neither will keep their jobs in 2024-25 as having Nostradamus-like powers. Their fortunes change game-by-game. Pochettino looks like he is in a job he doesn’t really fancy and Ten Hag’s future is being decided on a daily basis. 

Against this background, everything just seemed so “temporary” at Stamford Bridge, from expensive misfits like Marc Cucurella, Enzo Fernández, Moisés Caicedo, Antony, Andre Onana and Mason Mount to the men pacing the technical areas.

Thankfully, Chelsea’s best piece of business last summer, the acquisition of Cole Palmer from Manchester City, continues to be the gift that keeps giving. Without him, Chelsea would be in a very worrying position rather than being stuck in nomansland all season. They went into a 2-0 lead inside 18 minutes thanks to goals from Conor Gallagher and a penalty from Palmer, but by the 38th minute, it was 2-2, with Chelsea’s defence very charitable towards Alejandro Garnacho and Bruno Fernandes. 

It may have been entertaining stuff, but the quality was a little questionable and demonstrated that both sides are way behind the title-chasing trio at the top of the Premier League. In the 66th minute, United took the lead for the first and only time in the game, a brave header from Garnacho after Antony sent over an inviting cross. The media went overboard about this goal and a player who has yet to convince anyone he was a good value signing for United. Chelsea’s defence, not for the first time, was easily prised open.

Mason Mount, who departed Chelsea for United last year, entered the contest with four minutes remaining, allowing the unhappy home fan to wave the shirt he was brandishing throughout the game, labelling the former Blues’ number 19 as “Judas”. Mount, in 2022-23, was not the player that made him one of the Premier’s rising stars, largely because of injury and a loss of form. Chelsea received more than £ 50 million for the 24 year-old. Mount’s time at United has not been successful and has been plagued by injury. 

Chelsea looked set for a defeat as the game drifted beyond 90 minutes. But in the 10th minute of added time, they were awarded another penalty after Noni Madueke was brought down by Diogo Dalot. Palmer levelled the scores and almost immediately, in the 101st minute of the game, he did it again, receiving the ball inside the area and shooting past Onana with the aid of a slight deflection. 

A 4-3 win for Chelsea was the sort of outcome that might have left some fans believing that perhaps all is better than some critics claim, but the flaws were there for all to see. However, there are some signs that Chelsea may be getting it together – they are six games unbeaten and in Palmer, they have a gem that City may wish they discarded too easily. As for United, the result won’t make too much difference to the jury that has sat all season debating Erik ten Hag. Both sides still have the opportunity to end the campaign with a trophy, and if that happens, some of the frustration of 2023-24 will melt away.